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The new home sales market is unraveling...
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Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller March 31, 2011
Improvement in factory sector activity slowed last month.
Factory orders ticked down 0.1% during February after an unrevised 3.3%
January gain. For durable goods only, orders fell 0.6%, revised from the
0.9% decline reported last week. Consensus expectations were for a 0.5%
increase in total factory orders. Despite the monthly slip in orders, y/y
growth held steady at 9.3%. The orders' decline was accompanied by a 0.3%
increase in shipments. This gain follows increases well over 1.0% in each
of the prior three months.
A slower rate of inventory building, 0.8% last month, seems to account for the reduced rate of factory sector improvement. Moreover, this squares with the slowing gains in industrial production reported earlier this month. Nevertheless, unfilled orders moved 0.5% higher in February. The 4.5% y/y gain masks, however, the strength of a 13.0% rise in backlogs less the transportation sector. It was led by a 29.3% y/y gain in backlogs of machinery orders.
The factory orders figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
Factory Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Feb | Jan | Dec | Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orders | -0.1 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 9.3 | 12.1 | -17.8 | -1.0 |
Shipments | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 9.6 | 9.1 | -15.6 | 2.3 |
Inventories | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 8.3 | -8.8 | -0.8 |
Backlogs | 0.5 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 4.4 | 4.0 | -11.1 | 2.8 |