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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Carol Stone March 16, 2011
The
U.S. current account deficit narrowed in Q4 to $113.3B from a revised $125.5B in
Q3. Consensus expectations had called for $110.0B. The ratio to GDP was 3.1%.
For 2010 as a whole, the deficit came to $470.2B, or 3.2% of GDP.
The deficit on goods in Q4 was $156.2B, down from Q3's $170.8B; a resurgence in exports generated the improvement while imports were sluggish, rising just 0.8%. In all of 2010, exports totaled $1,288.7B, up 20.6% from 2009, and imports were $1935.7B, 22.9% above 2009.
The surplus on services was $39.5B in Q4, marginally larger than $38.2B in Q3. This balance moved in a narrow range during the year, averaging $37.8B in the four quarters, making a total of $151.4B for the whole year. Exports of services expanded 8.6% during the year from 2009, with marked turnarounds in travel and passenger fares. Imports of services expanded modestly from quarter to quarter during 2010 and for the year were 6.5% ahead of 2009. "Other transportation", i.e., mainly freight, stood out with a 17.7% bounce after plunging 22.6% during 2009's widespread contraction.
The balance on income eased again in Q4 to $38.6B from $41.3B in Q3 and $42.9B in Q2. The Q4 result reflected a sizable $8.0B increase in US income payments on foreign direct investment; US receipts of direct investment income also gained, but only $4.2B. For all of 2010, the balance on income was a surplus of $163.0B, a new record and a rebound of $41.6B after a deterioration of $30.6B in 2009.
Among financial flows, there was somewhat less movement in Q4 than Q3, with US assets abroad up by $241B compared to $341B in Q3, and foreign flows into the US at $274B, less than Q3's $489B. Foreign investors cut back on all major activities, as they bought fewer securities and less direct investment. On the US side, bank-related flows were smaller in Q4 than in Q3, but direct investment was moderately larger and securities investment about the same. For the year as a whole there were massively larger amounts of international funds flows through the US from both US and foreign investors. US flows abroad came to $1.025Tr and foreign flows here were $1.245Tr.
Balance of Payments data are in Haver's USINT database, with summaries available in USECON.
US Balance of Payments SA | Q4'10 | Q3'10 | Q2'10 | Year Ago | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current Account Balance($ Bil.) | -113.3 | -125.5 | -122.7 | -100.9 | -470.2 | -378.4 | -668.9 |
Deficit % of GDP | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2 | 2.7% | 4.6% |
Balance on Goods ($ Bil.) | -156.3 | -170.8 | -169.1 | -140.1 | -647.1 | -506.9 | -834.7 |
Exports | 5.8 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 17.8% | 20.6 | -18.1% | 12.5% |
Imports | 0.8 | 1.8% | 6.3% | 23.3% | 22.9 | -26.4% | 7.9% |
Balance on Services ($ Bil.) | 39.5 | 38.2 | 36.6 | 35.4 | 151.4 | 132.0 | 135.8 |
Exports | 1.2 | 3.2% | 0.3% | 7.7% | 8.6 | -6.0% | 9.4% |
Imports | 0.4 | 2.8% | 0.8% | 6.4% | 6.5 | -7.0% | 8.5% |
Balance on Income($ Bil.) | 38.6 | 41.3 | 42.9 | 35.1 | 163.0 | 121.4 | 152.0 |
Unilateral Transfers ($ Bil.) | -35.2 | -34.2 | -33.2 | -31.3 | -137.5 | -124.9 | -122.0 |