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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller March 8, 2011
The latest Manpower Inc. Survey suggested that recent improvement in
the U.S. labor market will hold steady next quarter. For Q2 2011, the
level of the seasonally adjusted diffusion index held at 8 following a
downwardly revised 8 in Q1. The latest figure remained the highest since
Q1 2009. Since inception in 1976, there has been a 66% correlation between
the level of the index and the q/q change in payroll employment.;
The Manpower Inc Employment Outlook Survey is a quarterly measurement of hiring intentions of more than 15,000 employers in 473 cities. Employers declare their intentions to increase, decrease, or maintain the size of their present workforce for the upcoming three-month period. The survey was designed with the assistance of the Survey Research Center of the University of Michigan. The current seasonal adjustments are by Manpower, Inc. Haver Analytics, Inc. calculated the historical seasonally adjusted series.
The overall not seasonally adjusted diffusion index improved to 10 in Q2. That compares with 4 this quarter and 8 during Q2'10. The detail of the survey indicates that Q2 hiring plans continued positive across industries but was strongest in professional & business services and durable manufacturing. The indexes for transportation & utilities and financial activities also improved q/q but were constant with or below last year.
The Manpower Inc Employment Outlook Survey is a quarterly measurement of hiring intentions of more than 15,000 employers in 473 cities. Employers declare their intentions to increase, decrease, or maintain the size of their present workforce for the upcoming three-month period.
The figures referenced above are available in Haver's USECON database.
Manpower Inc.
Employment Outlook Survey (%) |
Q2 2011 |
Q1 2011 |
Q4 2010 |
Q3 2010 |
Q2 2010 |
2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All Industries (SA) | 8 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
All Industries (NSA) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
Construction | 6 | -9 | -8 | 8 | 4 | -2 | -6 | 4 |
Manufacturing - Durables | 14 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
Manufacturing - Nondurables | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
Wholesale & Retail Trade | 12 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
Transportation & Utilities | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
Professional & Business Services | 15 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 8 | -- |
Education & Health Services | 6 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -- |
Financial Activities | 9 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 3 | -- |
Government | 1 | 0 | -6 | -2 | -1 | -3 | -3 | 10 |