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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
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Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller March 2, 2011
The consumers' appetite for purchasing a new motor vehicle remains hearty. Unit sales of light vehicles jumped 6.4% last month versus January to 13.44M units (SAAR). Consensus had estimated sales of 12.7M according to the Bloomberg survey. (Seasonal adjustment of these figures is provided by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.) The gain lifted sales 27.5% versus last year to the highest level since aggressive rebates propped up sales during August 2009.
Sales of fuel efficientautos were strongest with a 12.1% rise m/m to 6.83M. A 13.8% m/m gain in domestics pulled them up by more than one quarter over the last three months. Imported auto sales gained a lesser 8.5% m/m but surprisingly are down versus November. Held back by the rise in gasoline prices, which really picked up steam during the last three months, sales of light trucks rose a minimal 1.2%, about the same as in January, to 6.61M. They're up 3.6% since November. Sales of domestics nudged up 0.5% and by only 4.0% over the last three months. Sales of full efficient imported light trucks rose 4.9% m/m and by 2.0% during the last three.
For the month, import's share of the U.S. light vehicle market held roughly stable m/m at 24.0%. (Imported vehicles are those produced outside the United States.) Imports' share of the U.S. car market slipped to 31.3% for February versus the record 35.0% for all of 2010. Imports' share of the light truck market nudged up M/M to 16.5%, equal to that during all of last year but down from the record 19.7% in 2009.
The U.S. vehicle sales figures can be found in Haver's USECON database.
Light Vehicle Sales (SAAR, Mil. Units) | Feb | Jan | Dec | Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 13.44 | 12.62 | 12.55 | 27.5% | 11.58 | 10.38 | 13.22 |
Autos | 6.83 | 6.09 | 6.11 | 22.4 | 5.78 | 5.45 | 6.76 |
Domestic | 4.69 | 4.12 | 4.01 | 25.5 | 3.78 | 3.56 | 4.44 |
Imported | 2.14 | 1.97 | 2.10 | 16.1 | 2.02 | 1.89 | 2.32 |
Light Trucks | 6.61 | 6.53 | 6.44 | 33.3 | 5.80 | 4.93 | 6.46 |
Domestic | 5.51 | 5.49 | 5.41 | 34.6 | 4.84 | 3.96 | 5.28 |
Imported | 1.09 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 27.3 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 1.18 |