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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller March 1, 2011
Strength in energy prices continues unabated. The pump price for regular gasoline last week surged nineteen cents to $3.38 per gallon, the highest since October-2008 and double the December-2008 low of $1.61. Typically, pump prices decline this time of year due to lessened seasonal demand. To account for this pattern, Haver Analytics calculates seasonal factors and the adjusted gasoline price moved higher to $3.41 per gallon. Yesterday, the spot market price for a gallon of regular gasoline increased further to $2.70 from an average $2.67 last week.
Crude oil prices, up with political unrest in the Middle East, jumped roughly $10.00 last week to $95.95 for a barrel of crude oil (WTI). The price compares to an average $79.51 during all of last year. Yesterday prices rose further to $96.97 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices surged as well to $111.48 from $98.63 at the end of January.
Demand for gasoline ticked up 0.1% last week versus last year. The demand for residual fuel oil, used for heating, surged 10.1% and distillate demand rose 2.7% y/y. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products rose a greatly lessened 2.7% during the last twelve months, down from a peak 11% in September 2009.
Lastly, natural gas prices fell again, last week to an average of $3.83 per mmbtu. Yesterday, prices recovered a bit to $3.94 but remained down from last year's early-January high of $6.50.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy and can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and the gasoline demand figures are in OILWKLY
Weekly Price | 2/28/11 | 2/21/11 | 2/14/11 | Y/Y% | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Regular Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 3.38 | 3.19 | 3.14 | 25.2 | 2.78 | 2.35 | 3.25 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl.) | 95.95 | 85.34 | 86.69 | 21.1 | 79.51 | 61.39 | 100.16 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) | 3.83 | 3.89 | 4.16 | -21.5 | 4.40 | 3.95 | 8.88 |