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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Slide Amid Higher Rates
The biggest declines have been in refinancing activity, while applications for purchase are just starting to crack...
UK Inflation Jumps
Inflation is at the highest rate since the series began in January of 1989...
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller February 8, 2011
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the December job openings rate slipped to 2.3% from an upwardly revised 2.4% during November. For the full year the job opening rate improved modestly to 2.3%, its highest since 2007. These levels remained improved versus the recession low of 1.8%. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a percent of total employment plus job openings. Job availability slipped m/m from its highest level since August 2008. Nevertheless, job availability recovered roughly one-quarter last year after the 17.8% decline during 2009.
The private-sector job openings rate also fell m/m to 2.4%, its lowest since June. It was down for the fourth month in the last five. For the full year, however, openings rose 23.7%. Factory sector openings fell sharply during December and by one-quarter for the full year. Professional & business services job openings rose 5.3% in December but ticked down 0.5% for the year. The job openings rate in government remained a low 1.4%. However, it was up for the year due to a mid-year surge with Census taking..
The hires rate remained low at 3.2% for the fourth month in the last five. The hires rate is the number of hires during the month divided by employment. The 3.6% rate in the private sector easily surpassed the government's at 1.4%, The actual number of hires rose 4.5% last year, after three years of decline. Hires in professional & business were the strongest with a 12.6% full-year rise followed by a 13.7% gain in manufacturing.
The job separations rate held at 3.2% for the fourth month in the last five, near its lowest. The actual number of separations ticked 0.8% lower m/m but were off 6.6% for the year. Separations include quits, layoffs, discharges, and other separations as well as retirements. The layoff & discharge rate alone held m/m at a reduced 1.4% and fell y/y to 17.3%, its lowest since 2007. The private sector layoff rate fell for the year to 19.0%.
The JOLTS survey dates only to December 2000 and the figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey) | Dec | Nov | Oct | Dec'09 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Job Openings, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
Total (000s) | 3,063 | 3,202 | 3,328 | 2,531 | 3,063 | 2,531 | 3,078 |
Hires, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 39.1 | 37.3 | 41.1 |
Total (000s) | 4,184 | 4,214 | 4,249 | 3,997 | 50,838 | 48,649 | 56,082 |
Layoffs & Discharges, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 17.3 | 21.2 | 18.0 |
Total (000s) | 1,838 | 1,854 | 1,755 | 2,049 | 22,628 | 27,683 | 24,589 |