Recent Updates
- France: INSEE Monthly Household Survey (May)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller January 19, 2011
Maybe the rate of increase slowed, but the direction of change in energy prices remains the same - higher. Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline rose another penny to $3.10 per gallon following the prior week's two cent rise. Prices were the firmest since October 2008 and were up from the December-2008 low of $1.61. Yesterday the spot market price for a gallon of regular gasoline of $2.48 was up another penny from last week's average. Typically, pump prices decline this time of year due to lessened seasonal demand. To account for this pattern Haver Analytics calculates seasonal factors and the adjusted gasoline price rose to $3.31 per gallon.
Crude oil prices increased last week to $91.03 per barrel of light sweet crude (WTI). The price compares to an average $79.51 during all of last year. Yesterday, the crude price rose further to $91.38 per barrel. The seasonally adjusted cost of a barrel of crude oil fell to $98.09 per barrel as calculated by Haver Analytics.
Lastly, natural gas prices slipped to an average of $4.47 per mmbtu. Prices are up from the low $3.49 during October. Yesterday, prices ticked higher to $4.48 but still were down from last year's early-January high of $6.50.
Demand for gasoline increased 1.9% last week versus last year. The demand for residual fuel oil, used for heating, jumped 10.0% and distillate demand rose 3.6% y/y. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products rose a greatly lessened 0.7% during the last twelve months.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy and can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and the gasoline demand figures are in OILWKLY
Weekly Price | 1/17/11 | 1/10/11 | 1/3/11 | Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Regular Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 3.10 | 3.09 | 3.07 | 13.3% | 2.78 | 2.35 | 3.25 |
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI($ per bbl.) | 91.03 | 89.53 | 90.82 | 13.7 | 79.51 | 61.39 | 100.16 |
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) | 4.47 | 4.51 | 4.14 | -21.5 | 4.40 | 3.95 | 8.88 |