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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller January 19, 2011
Severe snow storms just after Christmas dealt another setback to new housing
activity last month Total housing starts fell 4.3% in December to 529,000
(AR) units from 553,000 during November, initially reported at 555,000. The
latest figure fell short of Consensus expectations for 550,000 starts. For the
year as a whole, starts nevertheless grew 5.8% from 2009 following a
three-quarters decline since the early-2006 peak.
The December decline reflected a 9.0% decline in starts of single-family homes to 417,000. The latest was the lowest level since May of 2009. Starts of multi-unit units increased a minimal 17.9% to 112,000 but remained down by one-quarter from three months ago. Starts of 2-to-4 unit structures, which are few in number, fell by one quarter m/m but starts with more than five units increased by one-quarter from the lowest level since February. Starts in the Midwest fell more than one-third m/m (-26.6% y/y) during December and starts in the Northeast fell one-quarter from November (-4.9% y/y). Starts in the South fell a minimal 2.2% (-16.0% y/y) but starts out West increased one-third m/m and by one-third y/y.
Working the other way, building permits rose 16.7% m/m (-6.8% y/y) to the highest level since March. Permits for single-family units rose 5.5% but remained down 14.9% from last December. Multi-family permits rose more than one-half m/m (18.9% y/y).
The housing starts figures can be found in Haver's USECON database.
Baby Boomers Face a Changing Retirement Landscape from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas is available here.
Housing Starts (000s,SAAR) | Dec | Nov | Oct | Dec Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 529 | 553 | 533 | -8.2% | 586 | 554 | 900 |
Single-Family | 417 | 458 | 433 | -14.2 | 472 | 442 | 616 |
Multi-Family | 112 | 95 | 100 | 24.4 | 115 | 112 | 284 |
Starts By Region | |||||||
Northeast | 58 | 77 | 81 | -4.9 | 72 | 61 | 120 |
Midwest | 69 | 112 | 94 | -25.6 | 98 | 95 | 134 |
South | 262 | 268 | 263 | -16.0 | 296 | 281 | 451 |
West | 140 | 96 | 95 | 28.4 | 121 | 117 | 195 |
Building Permits | 635 | 544 | 552 | -6.8 | 595 | 583 | 896 |