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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller January 06, 2011
The outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that the
level of layoffs during December fell sharply to 32,004. The level was the lowest
since June 2000. For the full year, planned layoffs totaled 529,973, down 58.9%
from 2009. Despite the decline in layoffs, the unemployment rate from the Census
Department remains high as the number of long-term unemployed has surged.
Layoffs fell in the aerospace (-17.0% y/y), chemical (-65.1% y/y), consumer goods (+41.9% y/y), entertainment/leisure (+806.2% y/y), government (-41.7% y/y), insurance (-19.9% y/y), pharmaceutical, services (+24.5% y/y) and telecommunication (-100.0% y/y) industries. Layoffs rose elsewhere. During the last ten years there has been a 67% (inverse) correlation between the three-month moving average of announced job cuts and the three-month change in payroll employment. Job cut announcements differ from layoffs. Many are achieved through attrition, early retirement or just never occur.
Challenger also samples firms' hiring plans which again fell sharply last month to just 10,575. Plans fell hardest in entertainment/leisure (-50.0% y/y), financial (-100.0% y/y), health care, industrial goods (33.3% y/y), retail (1,900% y/y) and services.
The Challenger figures are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.
Challenger, Gray & Christmas | Dec | Nov | Oct | Y/Y | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Announced Job Cuts | 32,004 | 48,711 | 37,986 | -29.0% | 529,973 | 1,288,030 | 1,223,993 |
Announced Hiring Plans | 10,575 | 26,012 | 124,766 | -70.3% | 402,638 | 272,573 | 118,600 |