Recent Updates
- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
- US: Pending Home Sales Index (Apr)
- US: GDP and Corporate Profits (Q1, 2nd release)
- Canada: Retail Trade, Payroll Employment (Mar)
- South Africa: PPI (Apr) Government Debt (Apr-Prelim)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Robert Brusca January 03, 2011
EMU PMIs are in a clear revival despite concerns about austerity in 2011 and market-related financing concerns.
This week the Zone's access to market credit is tested as several issuers hit the finical trough for sustenance.
Against the back ground of this improved economic data access might be granted.
The Zone's index for MFG advances to a strong 57.1 in December from 53.3 in November. It stands in the 97th percentile of its range just a tick stronger than Germany's standing in its own range (but at a higher level for Germany). This drives home the point that that it is the whole of the EMU that is doing well but just the contribution of a strong German reading to an otherwise weak region.
Among the eight reporters in the table only France and Greece took a step back in December. While there are concerns about a debt downgrade in France the MFG index despite this downtick has the send strongest standing in its range among all these reports. Greece stand alone at the very weak 28th percentile of its range, a very low and difficult standing. Greece is under a lot of pressure, a heavy debt burden and high tax rate amid severe austerity measures to cope with its economic difficulties.
Ireland whose problems are more recent continues to post a reading in the top 15% of its range. Spain's MFG reading is in the top 20% and Italy's index stands in the top 13%. The countries on people's lists of being possibly in trouble are still showing improvement and solid to strong manufacturing gains - for the most part.
It's a good start to the new year's data.
Markit MFG Indices | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dec-10 | Nov-10 | Oct-10 | 3Mo | 6Mo | 12Mo | Percentile | |
Euro-13 | 57.11 | 55.33 | 54.60 | 55.68 | 55.42 | 55.40 | 97.6% |
Germany | 60.71 | 58.10 | 56.61 | 58.47 | 58.31 | 58.29 | 97.1% |
France | 57.18 | 57.92 | 55.18 | 56.76 | 55.86 | 55.76 | 96.8% |
Italy | 54.73 | 51.96 | 53.01 | 53.23 | 53.25 | 53.27 | 87.9% |
Spain | 51.46 | 50.02 | 51.22 | 50.90 | 50.86 | 50.61 | 80.1% |
Austria | 57.66 | 55.23 | 56.02 | 56.30 | 56.64 | 56.78 | 90.2% |
Greece | 43.05 | 43.89 | 43.62 | 43.52 | 43.91 | 43.76 | 28.5% |
Ireland | 52.24 | 51.17 | 50.89 | 51.43 | 50.88 | 51.19 | 85.9% |
Netherlands | 57.49 | 56.54 | 55.41 | 56.48 | 55.39 | 55.78 | 90.2% |
Percentile is over range since March 2000 |