Recent Updates
- Mexico: Manufacturing Employment (Mar)
- Latvia: Labor Force Statistics (Apr)
- UK: CBI Industrial Trends Survey (May)
- Albania: HICP (Apr)
- South Africa: Wholesale Sales, Export & Import Indexes (Mar)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Slide Amid Higher Rates
The biggest declines have been in refinancing activity, while applications for purchase are just starting to crack...
UK Inflation Jumps
Inflation is at the highest rate since the series began in January of 1989...
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller October 24, 2008
The level of September existing homes jumped 5.5% from August to 5.180 million, according to the National Association of Realtors. The rise followed an unrevised 2.2% August decline and beat Consensus expectations for a selling rate of 4.95M homes. Total sales include sales of condos and co-ops.
Median home prices fell 5.7% (NSA) last month for the third consecutive monthly drop. That pulled the y/y comparison to -9.0%. Prices have fallen 16.7% since their peak in April 2007.
Sales of existing single-family homes rose 6.2% after an unrevised 1.4% August decline. The y/y gains in both total sales and sales of single family homes turned positive for the first time since November 2005. Sales of existing homes, nonetheless, are down by one-third from their peak in mid-2005.
By region, home sales in the West led last month's increase with a 16.8% m/m gain. That lifted sales by more than one third versus the year ago level. Sales in the Midwest also rose but by a lesser 4.4%; the y/y change is still a negative 2.5%. In the South rose 2.2% (-7.8% y/y) but sales in the Northeast were off 1.2% (-7.7% y/y).
The number of unsold homes (condos & single-family) on the market fell 1.6% during September (-2.4% y/y) after a 5.2% August drop. At the current sales rate, the inventory fell to a 9.9 months supply versus the April peak of 11.2 months. For single-family homes, however, the inventory fell a bit more to a 9.4 months supply at the current sales rate, down from an 11.0 months supply in June.
Subprime Facts: What (We Think) We Know about the Subprime Crisis and What We Dont from the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston is available here.
Existing Home Sales (Thous) | September | y/y % | August | September '07 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 5,180 | 1.4 | 4,910 | 5,020 | 5,672 | 6,508 | 7,076 |
Northeast | 840 | -7.7 | 850 | 910 | 1,008 | 1,090 | 1,168 |
Midwest | 1,190 | -2.5 | 1,140 | 1,220 | 1,331 | 1,491 | 1,589 |
South | 1,900 | -7.8 | 1,860 | 2,060 | 2,240 | 2,576 | 2,704 |
West | 1,250 | 34.4 | 1,070 | 930 | 1,093 | 1,353 | 1,617 |
Single-Family | 4,620 | 3.8 | 4,350 | 4,450 | 4,958 | 5,703 | 6,181 |
Median Price, Total, $ | 191,600 | -9.0 | 203,100 | 210,500 | 216,617 | 222,000 | 218,217 |