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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Slide Amid Higher Rates
The biggest declines have been in refinancing activity, while applications for purchase are just starting to crack...
UK Inflation Jumps
Inflation is at the highest rate since the series began in January of 1989...
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller March 26, 2008
New single family home sales fell 1.8% during February to 590,000 after a 1.6% January decline that was slightly less than reported initially. The decline dropped sales to the lowest level since 1995 and they were down 57.5% since the peak in July of 2005. A sales rate of 576,000 was the Consensus expectation for sales last month.
By region, sales in the Northeast were by far the weakest last month and dropped 40.3% (-19.6% y/y). Sales in the Midwest also continued quite weak and fell 6.4% during February (-42.5% y/y).
In the West sales added a slight 0.7% (-28.3% y/y) to the 5.0% January increase while sales in the South recovered all of the January decline and rose 5.7% (-27.9% y/y).
The median price for a new single family home rose a firm 8.2% to $244,100 after a 0.2% January downtick. Prices were down 7.0% from the early 2007 peak. That was much less of a decline point to point reported last month due to the February rise and upward revisions.
The number of new homes for sale fell 2.1% last month, continuing a recent decline. Since the July '06 peak the number of new homes on the market was down 17.8%.
Continuing the recent trend, the decline in the inventory of homes for sale did not keep pace with the weakness in home sales. At the current low sales rate, the 9.8 months' supply of homes on the market was more than double the rate for all of 2005 and it was the highest since 1981.
Falling House Prices and Rising Time on the Market from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco can be found here.
US New Homes | February | January | Y/Y | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Sales (SAAR, 000s) | 590 | 601 | -29.8% | 774 | 1,049 | 1,279 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 244,100 | 225,600 | -2.7% | 243,500 | 243,067 | 234,208 |