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- Canada: Employment Insurance (Mar), Industrial Production & Raw Material Prices (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Slide Amid Higher Rates
The biggest declines have been in refinancing activity, while applications for purchase are just starting to crack...
UK Inflation Jumps
Inflation is at the highest rate since the series began in January of 1989...
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller March 25, 2008
The Conference Board reported today that consumer confidence
in March again fell sharply. The 15.6% m/m decline to a reading of 64.5
followed February's 12.4% drop. It was the sharpest two month decline
since late 1991. A consensus of economists foresaw less of a decline in
March to a level of 73.8.
The expectations component of the index fell 17.4% m/m and dropped the level to its lowest since the 1970s. Expectations for business conditions and for income dropped sharply while expectations for the inflation rate surged to 6.1%, its highest since 2005.
Respondents planning to buy a household appliance dropped sharply.
The present conditions index also fell a sharp 14.2% m/m to the lowest level since mid 2004.
Just 15.4% of respondents saw business conditions as good, the lowest since 2003. Jobs as plentiful were seen by 18.8% while 25.1% saw them as hard to get, the highest since mid 2005.
Conference Board (SA, 1985=100) | March | February | Y/Y % | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consumer Confidence Index | 64.5 | 76.4 | -40.4 | 103.4 | 105.9 | 100.3 |
Present Situation | 89.2 | 104.0 | -35.6 | 128.8 | 130.2 | 116.1 |
Expectations | 47.9 | 58.0 | -45.5 | 86.4 | 89.7 | 89.7 |