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U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
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The new home sales market is unraveling...
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller March 18, 2008
Housing starts during February were firmer than expected and fell just 0.6% to 1.065M units. A m/m decline to 0.96M had been the Consensus expectation. In addition, starts in January were revised higher to 1.065M from 1.012M reported last month.
As occurred last month, however, all of the strength relative to expectations (and most of the revision) was due to the multi-family sector. Starts of condos & coops during February rose 14.4% and January starts were revised higher by nearly one half million units.
Single family starts last month fell 6.7% m/m to .707M after a 3.1% January decline. That decline was revised to show less of a decline. Single family starts in February were at their lowest level since January 1991 and since the peak in early 2006, starts of single family homes were down 61.5%.
By region, single family starts in the Northeast gave back all of the January increase with a 42.3% decline (-28.9% y/y). In the Midwest single family starts fell to the lowest level since (this is not a typo) early 1985 and were down 25.0% y/y. In the South, single family starts fell 7.0% (-42.5% y/y) and out West single family starts rose by nearly one-third m/m but still were down by nearly one-half from February 2007.
Building permits continued the slide from a 2005 peak with a 7.8% m/m drop. Single-family permits fell 6.2% (-41.9% y/y).
Understanding the Securitization of Subprime Mortgage Credit from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York can be found here.
Housing Starts (000s, AR) | February | January | Y/Y | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 1,065 | 1,071 | -28.4% | 1,344 | 1,812 | 2,073 |
Single-Family | 707 | 758 | -40.5% | 1,039 | 1,474 | 1,719 |
Multi-Family | 358 | 313 | 19.7% | 304 | 338 | 354 |
Building Permits | 978 | 1,061 | -36.5% | 1,371 | 1,842 | 2,159 |