Recent Updates
- US: Consumer Sentiment (May-final), Personal Income, Adv Trade & Inventories (Apr)
- China: Public Funds Asset Mgmt, SOE Economy Operation (Apr), Star Rated Hotels (Q1)
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- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Advance Trade Deficit Narrowed Markedly in April
The advance estimate of the U.S. international trade deficit in goods narrowed to $105.9 billion in April...
As Inflation Overshoots, Are Central Banks Overdoing It?
This report is a reminder of how complicated inflation and monetary policy making can be...
U.S. GDP Decline is Little-Revised in Q1'22; Corporate Profits Fall
U.S. real GDP fell 1.5%, SAAR (+3.5% y/y) last quarter...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller December 12, 2007
The U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened slightly to $57.8B from $57.1B in September which was slightly deeper than the deficit initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of 57.3B.
The deficit averaged $58.7B during the first ten months of this year compared to an average of $64.0B during the first ten months of 2006.
U.S. exports rose 0.9% after a downwardly revised 0.8% during September. he revision was due a slightly lower gain in services exports
Exports of goods rose 0.7% (14.6% y/y) after a 1.4% jump during September. Exports of capital goods surged 3.4% (10.4% y/y) led by a 21.9% pop in exports of civilian aircraft (37.9% y/y. That rise was offset by a 10.4% decline (+5.1% y/y) in exports of computers while exports of electric apparatus rose 2.2% (4.6% y/y) after two months of sharp decline. Exports of nonauto consumer goods also fell by 3.2% +11.1% y/y).
U.S. exports of services rose 1.4% after a decline of 0.5% during September, initially reported as an increase. Travel exports recovered 1.4% (19.4% y/y) and passenger fares surged 2.2% 16.8% y/y).
Overall imports rose 1.0% as higher oil prices pushed up imports of industrial supplies by 3.6% (16.3% y/y). Imports of nonauto consumer goods also rose a firm 1.1% (4.6% y/y) but capital goods imports fell 1.2% (+6.6% y/y) after a 2.1% September jump.
The U.S. trade deficit in goods with China again deteriorated m/m to $25.9B versus a deficit of $24.4B during October of '06. During the first ten months of this year the deficit with China averaged $21.4B versus $19.1B in 2006. Exports to China rose 13.9% y/y and imports rose 7.6%.
Today's announcement by the Federal Reserve of actions by it, and other Central Banks, designed to address elevated pressures in short-term funding markets can be found here.Is the United States Losing Its Productivity Advantage? from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York can be found here.
Foreign Trade | October | September | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Trade Deficit | $57.8B | $57.1B | $58.2B (10/06) |
$758.5 | $714.4B | $612.1B |
Exports - Goods & Services | 0.9% | 0.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
Imports - Goods & Services | 1.0% | 0.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.8% |