Recent Updates
- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
- US: Pending Home Sales Index (Apr)
- US: GDP and Corporate Profits (Q1, 2nd release)
- Canada: Retail Trade, Payroll Employment (Mar)
- South Africa: PPI (Apr) Government Debt (Apr-Prelim)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller December 11, 2007
In a widely expected move, the target interest rate for Federal funds was lowered twenty five basis points to 4.25% at today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee.
Voting against the decision was Eric S. Rosengren who preferred a 50 basis point cut.
The discount rate also was reduced twenty five basis points to 4.75%.
The Fed's rationale for today's move was that recent data indicated a slowing in the rate of expansion due to "intensification of the housing correction and some softening in business and consumer spending." Moreover, strains on financial markets were viewed to have increased.
Regarding price inflation, the FOMC judged "that some inflation risks remain, and it will continue to monitor inflation developments carefully."
For the complete text of the Fed's latest press release please follow this link.
Other indicators of the current stance of U.S. monetary policy portray one of general ease. -- Easy - The yield curve already has steepened due to the decline in short term interest rates. This liquidity measure is not, however, near the most liquid of stances possible. -- Easy - The dollar's foreign exchange value is signaling an easy posture, down by roughly one-third since its 2002 high. -- Easy - Commodity prices are another signal of ease, nearly doubling since a 2002 low. -- Mixed - A mixed message is coming from the money supply measures. Growth in M2 has accelerated to a not too fast 6.3% rate of growth while growth in the monetary base has drifted lower to 2.2%. -- Tight - While down, the level of the "real" Fed funds rate still is high.