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Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller December 6, 2007
The Mortgage Bankers' Association today reported that foreclosures started on all mortgages rose to a still low 0.78% of mortgages outstanding. Nevertheless, that was by far the highest foreclosure rate on record.
Foreclosure rates on both prime and subprime mortgages rose sharply. Rates for prime FRM rose to 0.22% of loans issued from 0.18% in 2Q and an average of 0.14% last year. 28 million loans were serviced.
Foreclosures on prime ARMs similarly rose to 1.02% from 0.62% and from 0.30% last year. 6 million of these loans were serviced.
Foreclosures on subprime mortgage debt, however, rose much more sharply as employment growth slowed recently and interest rates rose. In total, foreclosures on subprime mortgages rose to 3.12% of outstanding loans. That amounted to 6 million loans. The rise was evenly spread between fixed and variable rate loans.
Foreclosures on subprime fixed rate debt rose to 1.38% of loans outstanding for a total of 3 million loans serviced.
On variable rate subprime debt, however, foreclosures soared to a 4.72% rate, up from 3.84% in 2Q and up from 2.0% last year. Three million loans were serviced.
The Rise and Fall of Subprime Mortgages from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas can be found here.
These data series are available in Haver's MBAMTG database.
Mortgages in Foreclosure (%) | 3Q '07 | 2Q '07 | 3Q '06 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All Mortgages | 0.78 | 0.65 | 0.46 | 1.84 | 1.64 | 1.73 |
Conventional Prime | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.77 |
Fixed Rate | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.16 |
ARM | 1.02 | 0.62 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.19 | 0.18 |
Subprime | 3.12 | 2.72 | 1.82 | 7.23 | 5.66 | 5.98 |
Fixed Rate | 1.38 | 1.35 | 0.97 | 1.06 | 1.08 | 1.44 |
ARM | 4.72 | 3.84 | 2.19 | 2.20 | 1.52 | 1.52 |