Recent Updates
- Malaysia: Motor Vehicle Sales (Apr)
- Malaysia: House Price Index by State (Q1)
- Macao: Visitor Arrivals (Apr)
- Turkey: Domestic Debt by Holder (APR)
- UK Regional: Northern Ireland: Mortgage Possession (Q1)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Robert Brusca November 20, 2007
We are hearing more concerns about inflation not just inflation risk from Euro area officials. Germany has its core PPI heading lower and the headline as well but not in a clear cut way. Also the declines are slow and energy prices are still threatening. Germany has not had its year/year PPI core rate below 2% since April of 2006 when it rose by 1.8%. The Bundesbank has been issuing such warnings especially Weber. Today Austrian CB president Liebscher says that the harmonized CPI is ‘striking me with concern.’ At the same time groups like the German engineering Association warn of the impact of a too strong euro on the economy. These very clear, well founded, and completely opposite concerns put the ECB in a tough spot.
Germany PPI | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%m/m | %-SAAR | ||||||
Oct-07 | Sep-07 | Aug-07 | 3-mo | 6-mo | 12-mo | 12-moY-Ago | |
MFG | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.6% |
Ex Energy | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% |
Core: ex food beverages, tobacco & Petroleum |