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Economy in Brief
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Continue to Decline
Despite the recent improvement in U.S. factory output, many industrial commodity prices have weakened...
U.K. Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller November 14 2007
U.S. retail sales last month rose 0.2% after the 0.7% September increase which revised up slightly. The gain matched expectations and the prior month's 0.7% was revised up slightly.
Excluding autos, sales rose 0.2% and the prior month's gain of 0.4% was revised down slightly to 0.3%. A 0.3% October increase had been expected.
Nonauto retail sales less gasoline ticked up just 0.1% (3.9% y/y) after an unrevised 0.2% rise in September. The 0.1% decline during August was revised down to a 0.5% drop.
Sales of discretionary items were generally weak last month. Furniture, home furnishings & appliance stores sales fell 0.4% (0.8% y/y) and the prior month's gain was revised down to a 0.8% decline. Sales have declined in four of the last five months. Sales at general merchandise stores fell 0.1% (+3.6 y/y). Apparel store sales rose 0.1% (4.4% y/y) but the prior month's decline was revised up to a 0.1% increase.
Building material sales rose a firm 0.6% (1.3% y/y) though the prior month's gain of 0.8% was revised down to a 0.4% decline.
Sales of nonstore retailers (internet & catalogue) fell 1.0% (5.9% y/y) after a little revised 0.9% September increase.
Motor vehicle & parts purchases rose 0.2% (5.0% y/y) but unit sales of light vehicles fell 1.1% m/m in October.
Gasoline service station sales rose 0.8% after the 1.8% September gain. Higher gas prices should lift this month's increase.
The recent Treasury Dept. study of Income Mobility is available here.
October | September | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Sales & Food Services | 0.2% | 0.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
Excluding Autos | 0.2% | 0.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% |