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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller October 11, 2007
The U.S. foreign trade deficit in August narrowed very slightly to $57.6B from $59.0B in July which was revised slightly shallower from the initial report. The August deficit was below Consensus expectations for a deficit of $58.7B.
The August deficit was the lowest since January and the average deficit of $59.0B during the last eight months compares to an average of $64.7B during the first eight months of 2006.
U.S. exports rose just 0.4%, the smallest monthly increase since April.
Exports of goods rose 0.4% (13.3% y/y) though exports of capital goods fell 0.6% ( +9.9% y/y). Exports of advanced technology goods exports rose 4.8% (8.9% y/y) and recouped most of the prior month's 8.6% drop. Exports of autos & products fell 8.4% (+10.3% y/y) after a 14.5% surge during July. Exports of nonauto consumer goods worked the other way and rose 1.5% (12.9% y/y) while exports of foods, feeds & beverages surged 8.7% (26.2% y/y).
U.S. exports of services rose 0.6% (11.8% y/y) after a slight slip during July. The modest increase came as exports of travel surged 2.0% (14.8% y/y) and passenger fares also surged by 2.0% (11.7% y/y).
Overall imports fell 0.4% though imports of petroleum products rose 4.4% (-3.0% y/y) as the price per barrel of crude petroleum rose 3.9% (3.0% y/y). Imports of nonauto consumer goods fell 0.5% (+5.1% y/y) though capital goods imports rose 0.9% (+3.4% y/y). Imports of advanced technology products made up all of the prior month's decline and rose 3.1% (12.1% y/y).
The U.S. trade deficit in goods with China improved slightly m/m to $22.5B versus a deficit of $22.0B the during August of '06.
International Trade: Why We Dont Have More of It from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia is available here.
Is the United States Losing Its Productivity Advantage? from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York can be found here.
Foreign Trade | August | July | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Trade Deficit | $57.6B | $59.0B | $67.6B (8/06) |
$758.5 | $714.4B | $612.1B |
Exports - Goods & Services | 0.4% | 2.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
Imports - Goods & Services | -0.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.8% |