Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
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- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Carol Stone September 19, 2007
Housing starts fell in August by 2.6% to 1.331M units. This result undershot Consensus expectations, which called for a decrease to 1.35M starts. July volume was revised from 1.38M to 1.367M.The August number was the smallest since May 1995.
Single-family starts declined 7.1% to 988,000 units. This pace is the first under 1.0M since March 1995 and the lowest since March 1993.
Single-family starts again fell in every region of the country in August. They were down 19.6% in the Northeast to just 74,000 (-37.7% y/y). In the West, they also had a big drop, 18.1% from July to 213,000 (-32.4% y/y). There is, though, a hint of stabilizing in the Midwest with "just" a 3.4% decrease to 172,000 (-14.4% y/y) and a mere 0.8% in the South to 529,000 (-26.6% y/y).
Starts of multi-family structures offset some of the weakness with a 12.8% increase to 343,000; July however was revised to 304,000 from the 311,000 reported last month. The August gain took place in the South, +77,000 in August and in the Midwest, +16.000; the Northeast saw a decline of 40,000, the West by 14,000.
Building permits were also weak, falling 5.9% m/m to 1.307M, their lowest level since March 1995. Permits to build a single-family home plunged 8.1% to just 926,000, their lowest since April 1995.
The Federal Reserve Board in one of its periodic "Bulletin" articles, presents the 2006 Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) Data. This article, which emphasizes the cross-tabulation by county of home prices and serious mortgage delinquencies, can be found here.
Housing Starts (000s, AR) | Aug | July | June | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 1,331 | 1,367 | 1,468 | -19.1% | 1,812 | 2,073 | 1,950 |
Single-Family | 988 | 1,063 | 1,147 | -27.1% | 1,474 | 1,719 | 1,604 |
Multi-Family | 343 | 304 | 321 | +17.9% | 338 | 354 | 345 |
Building Permits | 1,307 | 1,389 | 1,413 | -24.5% | 1,842 | 2,159 | 2,058 |