Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Robert Brusca August 16, 2007
In the new third quarter, UK real retail sales excluding autos were up strongly - in July. Real retail sales are rising at a 7% annual rate in the new quarter. Real ex-auto retail sales are ramping up in terms of 3-month and 6-month trends as well. The UK is one country in the EU where consumers seem to have stepped up. In Germany growth has been strong but the consumer has lagged. In France recent stock market events have been worse than in other countries and its business surveys have weakened. The consumer remains the key to the next leg up in growth in Europe and only in the UK do we have evidence that the consumer is ready to comply.
Nominal | Jul-07 | Jun-07 | May-07 | 3-MO | 6-MO | 12-MO | Yr Ago |
Retail Total | -0.2% | 0.3% | -0.1% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
Food Beverages & Tobacco | -0.4% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -4.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 5.3% |
Clothing Footwear | -0.5% | 0.2% | -4.3% | -17.1% | 9.7% | 1.6% | 5.6% |
Real | |||||||
Retail ex auto | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% |