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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller August 14, 2007
In June, the U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed to $59.2B from a revised $59.2B in May. Consensus expectations had been for a deeper deficit of $62.0B.
Total exports jumped 1.5% after also surging 2.6% in May. The gain mostly reflected higher exports of industrial supplies. Exports of non-auto consumer goods fell 1.4% (+9.2% y/y) while capital goods exports rose just 0.2% (5.2% y/y). Exports of advanced technology goods rose a strong 8.5% (NSA, 9.0% y/y).
Exports of services from the U.S. were firm again and rose 0.6% (13.2% y/y) while imports of services rose the same 0.6% (4.7% y/y).
Imports of nonpetroleum products were strong again and increased 1.0% (4.6% y/y) but imports of petroleum products fell 0.2% (-1.1% y/y). Capital goods imports jumped again, in June by 1.6% (7.0% y/y) but imports of nonauto consumer goods fell 0.6% (+5.9% y/y). Imports of advanced technology products surged 8.3% (12.3% y/y).
The U.S. trade deficit in goods with China deteriorated to $21.2B from $20.0B in May as imports surged 6.8% (12.8% y/y. U.S. exports to China, however, were also strong and posted a 10.8% (35.7% y/y) jump.
Globalization and Capital Markets: Implications for Inflation and the Yield Curve is a speech delivered by Fed Governor Randall S. Kroszner and it can be found here.
Foreign Trade | June | May | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U.S. Trade Deficit | $58.1B | $59.2B | $64.5B (6/06) |
$758.5 | $714.4B | $612.1B |
Exports - Goods & Services | 1.5% | 2.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% |
Imports - Goods & Services | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.8% |