Recent Updates
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller August 13, 2007
U.S. retail sales in July rose 0.3% after a 0.7% decline in June that was revised slightly shallower versus the initial report. The July figure compared with Consensus expectations for a 0.1% decline.
Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.4% and more than reversed a 0.2% June decline that also was revised slightly shallower.The July increase was double Consensus expectations for a 0.2% increase.
Nonauto retail sales less gasoline rose 0.6% (5.2% y/y) after an unchanged June reading that was revised up from a 0.3% decline reported at first.
Sales of discretionary items were generally firm last month. Furniture, home furnishings & appliance stores recovered 0.8% (1.6% y/y of a 1.2% June decline that was half the shortfall initially estimated. Sales at general merchandise stores rose 0.9% (6.0% y/y) after rising a little revised 0.4% during the prior month.Apparel store sales rebounded 1.3% (5.8% y/y) following a 1.2% June drop that was little revised.
Building material sales during July rose 0.2% (0.4% y/y) but recovered just a piece of the prior month's little revised 2.2% plunge. Sales of nonstore retailers (internet & catalogue) rose 0.4% (7.3% y/y) after June's downwardly revised 0.6% increase and July restaurant & bar sales jumped 1.3% (8.0% y/y), double the prior month's rise.
Sales by motor vehicle & parts dealers fell 0.3% (-1.2% y/y) as unit sales of new vehicles fell 2.6% m/m in July.
Gasoline service station sales fell 0.8% reflecting a 3.0% m/m decline in gas prices at the pump to an average $2.97 per gallon (-0.5% y/y).
July | June | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Sales & Food Services | 0.3% | -0.7% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
Excluding Autos | 0.4% | -0.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% |