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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Robert Brusca August 10, 2007
For the second quarter as whole, industrial production is off in France at a 1% pace. This drop is led by weakness in auto output that has fallen at a 9.2% annual rate in the quarter. But the output of consumer goods and intermediate goods has gone flat in the quarter. Capital goods output is still expanding at a slightly slower 1.3% annual rate in Q2 over Q1. IP had risen by 3.8% (saar) in Q1 with auto output up by 10.7 (saar) in the quarter.
For June itself the intermediate goods sector is the most surprising with output falling by 1.4% adding to the weakness in often volatile autos where output is off by an even sharper 2.3%. For autos it is the second monthly drop in a row. For intermediate goods the drop comes after a gain of 0.7% in May.
Saar except m/m | Jun-07 | May-07 | Apr-07 | 3-mo | 6-mo | 12-mo |
IP total | -0.5% | 0.5% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -0.2% | -0.8% |
Consumer goods | 0.2% | 1.0% | -1.1% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
Capital goods | 0.9% | 0.1% | -0.7% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
Intermediate goods | -1.4% | 0.7% | -0.5% | -4.8% | -2.4% | -1.3% |
Memo | ||||||
Auto | -2.3% | -2.7% | 0.7% | -16.2% | -4.4% | -6.9% |