Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Robert Brusca August 8, 2007
Foreign demand for core machinery orders has spiked up now and gain in Japan, but domestic demand has remained consistently weak.
The three month spike in domestic machinery orders over three months is surprising. It mostly reflects a spike in April, with further growth in May offset by a drop in June. Over all core machinery orders, however, continue to show weakness Over three, six and twelve months core orders are contracting. The core orders figures exclude shipbuilding orders and electric power orders that tend to be lumpy and distort trends. Three-month trends for core orders are trying to make a comeback but so far the localized strength has not been able to move the six-month or Yr/Yr trends higher. On all tenors core orders are still declining.
m/m % | Saar % | |||||
SA | Jun-07 | May-07 | Apr-07 | 3-Mos | 6-Mos | 12-Mos |
Total | -6.5% | 5.8% | 16.0% | 72.9% | 17.9% | -4.7% |
Core Orders* | -10.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | -11.8% | -16.8% | -18.2% |
Foreign Demand | -5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 32.7% | 49.0% | 1.7% |
Domestic Demand | -6.5% | 5.9% | 20.1% | 100.0% | -1.0% | -9.3% |
* Excl ships and electric power; mil of yen |