Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller July 27, 2007
The University of Michigan's reading of consumer sentiment this month rose 6.0% to 90.4, the highest level since February. The increase was less than the 8.3% gain reported in the preliminary report and it fell short of Consensus expectations for a reading of 91.5.
Consumer expectations contributed to the rise with a 9.1% jump m/m.
An improved expectation for business conditions during the next year contributed with an 11.7% m/m rise and an improved outlook for the next five years contributed with a 9.1% jump. Both these increases were much reduced from the preliminary report.
An improved view of the current economic conditions contributed as it rose 2.6%. The view of current personal finances rose 4.5% (4.5% y/y) but the perspective of current buying conditions rose just 1.3% (-1.3% y/y).
The assessment of government policy improved 4.9% (4.9% y/y) after falling sharply during the prior two months.
The University of Michigan survey is not seasonally adjusted.The reading is based on telephone interviews with about 500 households at month-end.
University of Michigan | July | July (Prelim.) | July y/y | June | 2006 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consumer Sentiment | 90.4 | 92.4 | 6.7% | 85.3 | 87.3 | 88.6 |
Current Conditions | 104.5 | 105.7 | 1.0% | 101.9 | 105.1 | 105.9 |
Expectations | 81.5 | 83.9 | 12.4% | 74.7 | 75.9 | 77.4 |