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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller July 13, 2007
The U.S. federal government ran a surplus of $27.5B last month versus a deep deficit during May. Last months surplus was up from the June 2006 figure of $20.B.
The monthly figure was near Consensus expectations for a surplus of $30B. Analysts' forecasts of the Federal budget benefit from access to the Government's Daily Treasury Statement, the data for which is available in Haver's DAILY database.
The latest Midsession Review of the Budget can be found here
The June budget figures pulled the deficit for the first three quarters of FY07 to $121B, down from $206.5B during last fiscal year's first nine months.
Net revenues grew 7.5% y/y during the first nine months of FY07. Individual income tax receipts (44% of total receipts) grew 11.5%. Corporate income taxes (13% of total receipts) were down sharply as were estate & gift taxes. Higher employment levels raised employment contributions by 4.2%.
U.S. net outlays grew 2.5% during this fiscal year's first nine months versus last year driven by a 5.6% rise in defense spending (19% of total outlays). Medicare expenditures (12% of outlays) surged by14.7% while social security spending (21% of outlays) rose 5.7%. The government's interest expense rose by 4.6% y/y as interest rates have risen.
US Government Finance | June | May | Y/Y | FYTD 2007 | FY 2006 | FY 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Budget Balance | $27.5B | $-67.7B | $20.5B (6/06) |
-$247.7 | -$318.7B | -$412.7B |
Net Revenues | $276.5B | $164.2B | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
Net Outlays | $206.6B | $231.9B | 2.1% | 2.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% |