Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Louise Curley June 25, 2007
Consumer Price Indexes for four countries--China, India, Singapore and Vietnam--were released today and can be found in the Haver Data Base. EMERGEPR, together with similar data for other Asian nations. Data are available, through May, except for India.
Inflation, as measured by the year to year increase in the Consumer Price Index, has varied widely in the various countries of Asia. Inflation in the first five months of this year are shown for selected Asian countries in the table below, together with the annual rates for 2004, 2005 and 2006.
Deflationary tendencies that were evident in the Greater China Area appear to have lessened in Hong Kong and China, but still persist in Taiwan. These trends are shown in the first chart.
Among the high inflation countries, Vietnam, Indonesia and India, for example, inflation in Vietnam after decelerating somewhat last year has increased in the current months of this year. Inflation in India has trended upward since mid 2005. Inflation in Indonesia jumped in late 2005 as a result of natural disasters and fell precipitately in late 2006. Inflation there is now moderately below the levels reached in early 2005 and no clear trend is apparent, as can be seen in the second chart.
The third chart shows the course of inflation in countries that have experienced moderating inflation in recent years. Thailand, like Indonesia experienced exceptionally high inflation in late 2005 and early 2006 followed by a sharp fall later in the year. Among these countries inflation in Singapore and, to a lesser extent, in South Korea is trending upward.
INFLATION IN ASIA Y/Y % CHANGE IN CPI | May 07 | Apr 07 | Mar 07 | Feb 07 | Jan 07 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China | 3.42 | 3.05 | 3.33 | 2.75 | 2.21 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 3.78 |
Hong Kong | 1.27 | 1.27 | 2.36 | 0.79 | 1.97 | 2.02 | 0.91 | -0.38 |
Taiwan | -0.03 | 0.67 | 0.84 | 1.74 | 0.35 | 0.60 | 2.31 | 1.61 |
Vietnam | 7.22 | 7.07 | 6.70 | 6.48 | 6.43 | 7.39 | 8.28 | 7.76 |
Indonesia | 6.01 | 6.29 | 6.22 | 6.30 | 6.26 | 13.10 | 10.46 | 6.06 |
India | n.a. | 6.67 | 6.72 | 7.56 | 6.72 | 6.18 | 4.24 | 3.77 |
South Korea | 2.35 | 2.45 | 2.16 | 2.17 | 1.68 | 2.24 | 2.75 | 3.59 |
Singapore | 1.09 | 0.59 | 0.79 | 0.59 | 0.20 | 0.96 | 0.47 | 1.67 |
Thailand | 1.91 | 1.84 | 2.04 | 2.32 | 3.05 | 4.64 | 4.54 | 2.77 |