Recent Updates
- US: Consumer Sentiment (May-final), Personal Income, Adv Trade & Inventories (Apr)
- China: Public Funds Asset Mgmt, SOE Economy Operation (Apr), Star Rated Hotels (Q1)
- Croatia: Retail Trade (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Advance Trade Deficit Narrowed Markedly in April
The advance estimate of the U.S. international trade deficit in goods narrowed to $105.9 billion in April...
As Inflation Overshoots, Are Central Banks Overdoing It?
This report is a reminder of how complicated inflation and monetary policy making can be...
U.S. GDP Decline is Little-Revised in Q1'22; Corporate Profits Fall
U.S. real GDP fell 1.5%, SAAR (+3.5% y/y) last quarter...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Robert Brusca April 10, 2007
French industrial output was up especially strong rising by 1.1% and led by a 1.2% increase in the output of consumer goods. EU IP trends have been soft recently. Even Germany where conditions have been rather solid has showed some weakness in consumer goods output; of course Germany may still be fighting its way though some VAT effects early in the year. With this strong gain in February, France at least shows that one large EU country has some solid output growth in consumer goods. This has been led by autos where output is up by a strong 4.7% spurt in February alone.
For France the chart now shows some building momentum trends in place as the 3-mo growth rate is rising sharply and the six month pace is firming along with the Yr/Yr pace.
In February France demonstrates good growth across sectors. Auto output is especially strong. Consumer goods output is surprisingly robust as that sector had lagged. Capital goods output trends are simply steady and above the pace of 4%. Intermediate goods output has picked up in February.
SAAR except m/m | Feb-07 | Jan-07 | Dec-06 | 3-mo | 6-mo | 12-mo |
IP total | 1.1% | -0.2% | 1.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% |
Consumer | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
Capital | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% |
Intermediary | 1.3% | -1.2% | 1.4% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 3.5% |
Memo | ||||||
Auto | 4.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 29.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% |