Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Carol Stone March 22, 2007
Retail sales in South Africa grew 9.4% in constant 2000 prices in January from a year ago, a resumption of stronger growth after December's gain slowed to 6.7%. For all of 2006, sales were up 9.6%. In current prices, they rose 15.6% from January 2006, also similar to the overall 2006 gain of 15.3%.
A breakout of sales into store groups is only available since 2005. Among the various groups, the greatest strength has been in household goods and building materials; these surged 25.5% (current prices) in January from the year-ago amount and were up 20.1% for all of 2006. The push for this growth has come from new construction and remodeling. The accompanying graph of construction data shows the expansion in residential buildings completed and in additions and alterations (some of which can be nonresidential, too, of course). The latter item continues to grow rapidly. The former, new homes, has flattened in recent months after a sustained rise that lasted from the spring of 2004 through last summer. But filling these homes with furniture and appliances and adding various amenities is supporting retail sales.
People have also been buying cars in good numbers. The index of vehicles sold was up 3.0% in February, following a drop of 9.6% in January, which in turn came after an 8.5% increase n December; these are month-to-month changes in seasonally adjusted data. These erratic monthly swings are still yielding year-to-year advances; for February, it was 5.1%. The last three years have been extraordinary for vehicle sales, up 14.4% for 2006, 25.7% in 2005 and 22.0% in 2004. It's hardly surprising that some hesitation is developing. But overall, the consumer sector is pulling the South African economy ahead with some vigor.
South Africa, NSA ex as noted | Feb 2007 | Jan 2007 | Dec 2006 | Year Ago | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Sales, Mil.Rand | -- | 34,018 | 49,608 | 29,440 | 418,450 | 362,796 | 329,238 |
Yr/Yr % Chg | -- | 15.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% |
Mil.2000.Rand | -- | 24,126 | 35,485 | 22,052 | 303,535 | 276,945 | 259,502 |
Yr/Yr % Chg | -- | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% |
Furniture, Appliances & Building Matl, Yr/Yr % Chg | -- | 25.5% | 12.4% | 19.5% | 20.1% | -- | -- |
Vehicles Sold (SA, 2000=100) | 192.3 | 186.7 | 206.6 | 182.9 | 189.5 | 165.6 | 131.8 |