Recent Updates
- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
- US: Pending Home Sales Index (Apr)
- US: GDP and Corporate Profits (Q1, 2nd release)
- Canada: Retail Trade, Payroll Employment (Mar)
- South Africa: PPI (Apr) Government Debt (Apr-Prelim)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Carol Stone March 21, 2007
Retail trade in Canada eased 0.2% in January after surging 2.2% in December. The result year-on-year was up 4.9%, a bit slower than the overall gains during 2005 and 2006.
However, the January decline was concentrated in the automotive sector, and several other store groups had nice increases. New car dealers and used vehicle and parts dealers saw 2.0% and 1.5% decreases, respectively, and gas station sales were down 3.5%. These had all been strong in November and December, particularly the latter, when the "automotive group" as a whole had sales up 3.8%.
Non-automotive sales (the total less all vehicle and parts dealers and gas stations) were sluggish in November, but came up well in December, by 1.5% and they continued on ahead by 0.9% in January. Several store groups participated, including furniture, consumer electronics and clothing. So the decline in vehicles and fuel seemed to make room for spending on other items.
On a volume basis, price declines have pushed total volume growth above nominal growth in several recent months. This was especially the case in September, but also in January, when sales in chained 1997 C$ expanded 5.0% year-on-year, compared with the nominal gain of 4.9%.
Sales performance among the Provinces has been uneven. Smaller ones on the East Coast -- Prince Edward Island and Nova Scotia -- showed moderate increases in January and those in the West, from Manitoba on all had sizable rises of more than 1%. But Quebec eked out only a 0.2% rise, while New Brunswick and Ontario had outright declines. A similar pattern holds for the year-to-year performance, with Ontario, which accounts for about one-third of the national total, experiencing just a 1.8% increase from January 2006 in contrast to 11.2% in Alberta. The western provinces are perhaps benefiting from high energy prices, which boost their income, compared with Ontario, where the people have to pay those prices instead.
The national data for Canada are contained in Haver's CANSIM database, with that for the Provinces in CANSIMR.
CANADA (SA, % Chg) | Jan 2007 | Dec 2007 | Nov 2007 | Year Ago | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Trade: All Groups | -0.2 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 4.7 |
All Motor Vehicles & Parts Dealers | -1.9 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 0.1 |
Total less MV & P | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.2 |
Gasoline Stations | -3.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 0.2 | 9.1 | 15.4 | 11.4 |
Total less MV & P and Gasoline | 0.9 | 1.5 | -0.6 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 5.5 |