Recent Updates
- Macao: MICE Industry (Q1)
- UK: Average Precipitation, Motor Vehicle Production (Apr)
- Serbia: Bank Claims, Banking Survey (Apr)
- Italy: ISTAT Business & Consumer Survey (May-Press)
- Spain: Credit Institutions Balance Sheet (Mar)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller February 8, 2007
Initial unemployment insurance claims inched up 3,000 last week to 311,000 after a little revised 19,000 decline the week prior. The figure about matched Consensus expectations for 310,000 claims.
During the last ten years there has been a (negative) 77% correlation between the level of initial claims and the m/m change in nonfarm payroll employment.
The four-week moving average of initial claims rose slightly to 308,250 (8.3% y/y).
A 54,000 (-2.3% y/y) drop in continuing claims for unemployment insurance reversed most of a downwardly revised 62,000 jump the week prior.
The insured rate of unemployment remained at 1.9%, about where it's been since February.
In the latest week, initial claims rose sharply in California (16.5% y/y) but fell in most other states. In New York claims fell (2.7%) y/y but in Illinois claims rose 13.7% y/y, in Michigan they fell 10.8% y/y and in Massachusetts claims rose 4.2% y/y. These weekly figures are available in Haver's REGIONW database.
The Role of Labor Market Intermittency in Explaining Gender Wage Differentials from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is available here.
The Economics of Immigration from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis can be found here.
Unemployment Insurance (000s) | 02/03/07 | 01/27/07 | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 311 | 308 | 6.5% | 313 | 332 | 343 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 2,490 | -2.3% | 2,459 | 2,662 | 2,924 |