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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller February 5, 2007
Factory inventories inched up just 0.1% during December after a slowed 0.2% November gain. The 0.6% increase in factory inventories during 4Q06 was the slowest since 3Q05.
Primary metals inventories actually fell during the last two months (+17.9% y/y). Automobile inventories also plummeted 11.8% (+6.3% y/y) and inventories of furniture fell 1.5% (+4.3% y/y). These declines were offset by higher electrical equipment inventories (11.3% y/y), higher inventories of computers (+8.4% y/y) and higher machinery inventories (8.7% y/y).
Total factory orders rose a firm 2.4% following a downwardly revised 1.2% November increase. Durable goods orders surged 2.9% which was little revised from the advance report of a 3.1% pop. Factory orders less transportation surged 2.2% (2.4% y/y) though nondurable are even y/y reflecting lower oil prices but also a decline in textiles.
Factory shipments surged 1.4% reflecting a 1.0% jump in durables which was broad based. Factory shipments less transportation jumped 1.0% (1.0% y/y).
Unfilled orders surged 2.1% due to the another jump in civilian aircraft (39.5% y/y). Less the transportation sector altogether backlogs rose 1.3% (13.8% y/y).
Factory Survey (NAICS) | December | November | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inventories | 0.1% | 0.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% |
New Orders | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
Shipments | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
Unfilled Orders | 2.1% | 1.8% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 4.5% |