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- Macao: Visitor Arrivals (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller February 2, 2007
Nonfarm payrolls grew by 111,000, an increase that was short of the Consensus forecast for a 140,000 rise, but the prior two months' gains were upwardly revised by a collective 81,000.
The unemployment rate increased last month to 4.6% from 4.5%. Household employment rose just 31,000 (2.0%) following the 303,000 surge in December, while the labor force grew 199,000 (1.9% y/y). The number of individuals not in the labor force jumped 343,000 and that increase more than reversed the declines in the prior two months. As a result, the labor force participation rate fell to 66.3%.
From the establishment survey, the job gain of 111,000 was the weakest in three months. Private service sector jobs rose just 90,000 (2.0% y/y), held back by a light 4,000 (2.0% y/y) gain in financial sector jobs and an even lighter 3,000 (0.7% y/y) uptick in information services. Professional & business services employment grew 25,000 which was also down from the increases of the last two months (2.9% y/y) and temporary help services jobs rose 5,700 (1.0% y/y) while jobs in retail trade rose just 4,000 (-0.2% y/y).
Factory sector payrolls fell again. The 16,000 worker decline was the seventh down month in a row.
Warmer temperatures helped construction employment to rise by 22,000 (1.3% y/y) and the prior month's decline was revised to a 10,00 gain.
Government payrolls increased 14,000 (1.3% y/y) but the prior month's gain was revised down.
Average hourly earnings halved December's gain with a 0.2% increase. Factory sector earnings fell 0.5% (+1.7% y/y) after an upwardly revised 1.0% December gain.
Employment | January | December | Y/Y | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payroll Employment | 111,000 | 206,000 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
Manufacturing | -16,000 | -18,000 | -0.8% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -1.3% |
Average Weekly Hours | 33.8 | 33.9 | 33.8 (Jan. '06) | 33.8 | 33.8 | 33.7 |
Average Hourly Earnings | 0.2% | 0.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
Unemployment Rate | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% (Jan. '06) | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% |