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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
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IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Carol Stone January 31, 2007
The trade deficit in Turkey shrank markedly in December. The Turkish Statistical Institute reported it at $3.08 billion, compared with $4.18 billion in November and $4.44 billion in December 2005. This was the smallest deficit since $3.01 billion in January 2006. After seasonal adjustment by Haver Analytics, the comparison is more distinct. December's $2.03 billion deficit was the lowest since $1.30 billion in November 2003.
Exports totaled $7.87 billion in the month, actually down 8.6% from November, but up 16.6% from a year ago. The largest categories were in the machinery sector, especially including transport equipment. Turkey is growing rapidly as a producer of cars and trucks. In 2006 as a whole, plants in the country produced 916,008 cars and pick-up trucks. Exports of these and other vehicles totaled $11.7 billion, making 13.8% of total goods exports. Total exports grew 15.9% last year, with "road vehicles" up 24.4%.
Imports were $9.90 billion, seasonally adjusted, in December, down from November by $2.9 billion or 22.5%. The unadjusted data were down 9.5% in the month. In most recent years, before seasonal adjustment, imports have spiked in December, then fallen sharply in January. So the outright decline in December's actual figure translated into a sizable cut in the seasonally adjusted result. Sources of the decline included petroleum and natural gas, chemicals, metals and transport equipment. For all of 2006, imports totaled $137.03 billion, up 17.3% from 2005.
Data on Turkey from its official national sources are contained in Haver's EMERGEMA database. That rapidly expanding database now includes 18 Middle East and African countries.
TURKEY (Mil.$) | Dec 2006 | Nov 2006 | Oct 2006 | Dec 2005 | Monthly Averages|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2006 | 2005 | 2004 | |||||
Trade Balance, SA | -2,026 | -4,161 | -5,043 | -3,254 | -- | -- | -- |
NSA | -3,083 | -4,183 | -4,446 | -4,437 | -4,353 | -3,606 | -2,865 |
Exports, SA | 7,873 | 8,618 | 6,307 | 6,769 | 7,095 | 6,123 | 5,264 |
Yearly % Chg | +15.9 | +16.3 | +33.7 | ||||
Imports, SA | 9,899 | 12,779 | 11,350 | 10,023 | 11,419 | 9,731 | 8,128 |
Yearly % Chg | 17.3 | 19.7 | 40.7 |