Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller January 8, 2007
Factory inventories increased just 0.2% in November after a downwardly revised 0.3% October increase. These gains were down from the 0.7% average during the prior six months.
Petroleum refineries' inventories did rise 0.7% but that uptick followed sharp 6.3% and 4.3% declines during the prior two months due to lower oil prices. The new development in November was that less petroleum, factory inventories grew just 0.2% (7.0% y/y), down sharply from the 0.7% average of the prior six months.
Machinery inventories fell 0.5% (+6.2% y/y) and primary metal inventories eased 0.3% (+18.9% y/y). Inventories of computers & electronic products rose 0.8% (7.2% y/y) while inventories of electrical equipment rose 0.6% (11.0% y/y) and the 3-month change fell to only 1.2% (AR). Furniture inventories rose 1.0% and in a hint that the accumulation was involuntary the 3-month change rose to 10.3%, the highest in a year.
Total factory orders recovered 0.9% after the hard October plunge. Durable goods orders jumped 1.6% which was revised down slightly from the advance report. Factory orders less transportation fell 0.5% (+0.6% y/y), the third consecutive monthly decline. Much of the recently slower growth in this measure reflects petroleum where orders (which equal shipments), but non-transportation orders less oil fell 0.9% (+1.4% y/y) in November for the fourth consecutive monthly decline.
Factory shipments rose 0.1% for the second month but factory shipments less transportation & petroleum slipped 0.2% (+1.4% y/y).
Factory Survey (NAICS) | November | October | Y/Y | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inventories | 0.2% | 0.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | -7.4% |
New Orders | 0.9% | -4.5% | -0.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
Shipments | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 0.2% |
Unfilled Orders | 1.7% | 1.4% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 4.5% | -1.0% |