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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller December 15, 2005
A surprising 4.8% jump in mining output pushed the gain in overall industrial output last month to 0.7% and that exceeded Consensus expectations for a 0.5% rise.
Factory sector production rose a moderate 0.4% (4.1% y/y) on the heels of the 1.9% spike in October which followed curtailments due to hurricanes.
Higher output of business equipment again led the strength in factory output. A 0.9% (10.4% y/y) increase last month reflected strong gains in transit equipment (12.8% y/y), information processing equipment (19.4% y/y) and industrial & other (5.0% y/y). Excluding the high tech sector altogether, factory output gained 0.1% (2.5% y/y).
Consumer goods output fell by 0.8% (+1.4% y/y) led by a 5.2% decline (+0.2% y/y) fall in automotive products. Output of appliances, furniture & carpeting also fell hard by 1.6% (+2.0% y/y) but output of computers, video & audio equipment output rose 4.2% (2.4% y/y). Nondurables output inched up 0.1% with apparel output up 0.8% (-2.6% y/y).
Total capacity utilization rose to 80.2% and capacity grew 1.6% y/y. Factory sector utilization rose to 79.4% while capacity rose 2.1% y/y.
Production & Capacity | Nov | Oct | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Industrial Production | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Consumer Goods | -0.8% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% |
Business Equipment | 0.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 0.0% | -7.8% |
Capacity Utilization | 80.2% | 79.8% | 79.3% (11/04) | 78.6% | 75.7% | 75.2% |