Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller December 14, 2005
The October U.S. foreign trade deficit widened to a record $68.9B from a little revised $66.0B in September. Consensus expectations had been for a narrowing to $62.5B.
In the wake of Hurricanes Katrina & Rita imports of petroleum products, notably gasoline, surged 23.3% on top of a 27.9% September jump to a level nearly double last October's and up nearly four-fold from the 2003 monthly average.
That spike lifted overall imports by 2.7% for the second consecutive month, despite a decline in crude oil prices to $56.29 per bbl. and petroleum prices overall that were roughly flat m/m.
Imports of nonauto consumer goods were strong as well and posted a 1.2% rise (9.7% y/y), goosed additionally by a 3.9% (7.0% y/y) rise in automotive imports. Capital goods imports fell 0.3% (+7.8% y/y) but imports of advanced technology products jumped 4.9% (NSA, 7.7% y/y).
Total exports gained back most of the prior month's 2.4% collapse with a 1.7% jump. Capital goods exports rose 6.2% (9.8% y/y) with the end of the four-week strike at Boeing Co. that drove exports of civilian aircraft up nearly three-fold m/m (33.1% y/y). Exports of advanced technology products also rose a strong 10.4% (NSA, 6.6% y/y). Exports of capital goods overall rose a strong 6.2% (9.8% y/y) although consumer goods exports fell 5.6% (+5.8% y/y).
Services exports were about flat m/m (+10.4% y/y) as private travel fell 1.8% (+12.5% y/y) though "other" private transportation services rose 1.2% (14.3% y/y).
The US trade deficit with China widened to another record of $20.5B ($161.9B in 2004) due to imports which jumped 4.8% (NSA, 23.9% y/y) though exports surged as well by 22.2% (NSA, 32.7% y/y). The US trade deficit with Japan deepened sharply m/m to $7.4B ($75.6B in 2004) due to a 12.6% (NSA, 6.9% y/y) surge in imports and the monthly trade deficit with the Asian NICs deepened to $1.6B ($21.9B in 2004). The deficit with the European Union deepened sharply to $12.1B ($109.3B in 2004) due to a 13.0% (14.5% y/y) jump in imports.
Foreign Trade | Oct | Sept | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trade Deficit | $68.9B | $66.0B | $55.6B (10/04) | $617.6B | $494.8B | $421.2B |
Exports - Goods & Services | 1.7% | -2.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 4.6% | -3.0% |
Imports - Goods & Services | 2.7% | 2.7% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 2.1% |