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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller December 13, 2005
US retail sales increased 0.3% for the third straight month in November. The increase about matched Consensus expectations for a 0.4% rise and October's gain was upwardly revised. Less autos, retail sales fell 0.3% versus expectations for no change.
A 16.9% drop in pump prices weighed heavily on last month's sales tally and it fostered a 5.9% m/m drop in sales at gasoline service stations. Gas prices in December have stabilized w/w around $2.17 per gallon, down a dime from the November average.
Less gasoline, nonauto retail sales rose 0.5% (7.6% y/y) following a little revised 1.0% October gains. For the fourth straight month sales at building material & supply dealers ballooned, last month by 1.9% (14.5% y/y).
Discretionary spending continued firm and added marginally to strong October gains. Apparel store sales added 0.2% (7.3% y/y) to a 2.6% pop and general merchandise store sales rose 0.1% (6.7% y/y) on top of a strong 1.1% October increase.
A little less firm were sales at furniture & electronics stores which rose just 0.1% (6.6% y/y) following a 0.3% drop in October. Sales of nonstore retailers (internet & catalogue) also fell by 0.2% (10.3% y/y) after a 0.8% October increase.
Nov | Oct | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Sales & Food Services | 0.3% | 0.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
Excluding Autos | -0.3% | 0.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% |