Recent Updates
- Finland: Tourism Statistics (Apr)
- Japan: Index of Business Condition (Mar)
- Korea: Medical Trade by Countries (Apr)
- Malaysia: Leading, Coincident and Lagging Indices (Mar), CPI (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller October 4, 2005
Factory inventories slipped 0.1% in August following an upwardly revised 0.6% gain in July. To emphasize a notion that the turn toward inventory restocking has not yet begun, factory inventories less petroleum gave back most of the prior month's gain, fell 0.2% and have been virtually unchanged since March.
Electrical equipment inventories fell 0.1% (+2.5% y/y) for the fourth straight monthly decline. Computer inventories also slipped 0.2% (-0.5% y/y), primary metal inventories fell 0.5% (+17.6% y/y) for the third consecutive monthly drop and fabricated metals fell for the fourth consecutive month, off 0.4% (+7.1% y/y). Machinery inventories rose 0.4% (9.7% y/y) led by turbines and construction machinery.
Factory shipments surged 1.7% following a downwardly revised July gain. Less a 4.7% jump in shipments from petroleum refineries, factory shipments surged 1.4% (3.6% y/y). Electrical equipment shipments jumped 2.1% (6.0% y/y) and machinery rose 1.4% (8.4% y/y).
Factory sector orders reversed all of a a deepened 2.5% decline in July. The advance report of a surge in durables orders was little revised and they rose 3.3%.
Unfilled orders added 1.6% to the 1.0% jump in July. Nondefense aircraft & parts (32.5% y/y) again led the strength with a 3.9% surge. Less the transportation sector altogether, backlogs rose 1.8% (9.0% y/y) and the ratio of unfilled orders to shipments continued a moderate climb.
Factory Survey (NAICS) | Aug | July | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Inventories | -0.1% | 0.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | -1.1% | -5.4% |
New Orders | 2.5% | -2.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | -2.5% |
Shipments | 1.7% | 0.1% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 1.5% | -2.5% |
Unfilled Orders | 1.6% | 1.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | -8.5% |