Recent Updates
- Iceland: HICP (Apr)
- Sweden: Valueguard-KTH HOX House Prices (Apr), Capacity Utilization (Q3), Turnover Index (Mar)
- Philippines: International Reserves (Apr)
- Japan: Japan: Machinery Orders (Mar), Housing Credit, Loans for
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Slide Amid Higher Rates
The biggest declines have been in refinancing activity, while applications for purchase are just starting to crack...
UK Inflation Jumps
Inflation is at the highest rate since the series began in January of 1989...
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller June 16, 2005
Initial claims for unemployment insurance remained about flat last week, rising 1,000 to 333,000 from an upwardly revised level the week prior. Consensus expectations had been for 328,000 claims.
During the last ten years there has been a (negative) 75% correlation between the level of initial claims for unemployment insurance and the monthly change in payroll employment. There has been a (negative) 65% correlation with the level of continuing claims.
The four week moving average of initial claims increased modestly to 335,000 (-2.7% y/y).
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance jumped 58,000 following a deepened 9,000 decline the prior week.
The insured unemployment rate increased slightly to 2.1% after seven weeks at 2.0%.
The latest Beige Book from the Federal Reserve Board covering regional economic conditions is available here.
Unemployment Insurance (000s) | 06/11/05 | 06/04/05 | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 333 | 332 | -2.3% | 343 | 402 | 404 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 2,641 | -9.1% | 2,926 | 3,531 | 3,570 |