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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Slide Amid Higher Rates
The biggest declines have been in refinancing activity, while applications for purchase are just starting to crack...
UK Inflation Jumps
Inflation is at the highest rate since the series began in January of 1989...
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller June 14, 2005
US retail sales slipped 0.5% last month following a little revised 1.5% spurt in April. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% decline.
The 0.2% decline in sales excluding motor vehicles followed an upwardly revised 1.4% jump in April. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% increase. Some of the weakness was due to a 1.6% decline in gasoline service station sales (+13.4% y/y). Nonauto retail sales less gasoline in May were about unchanged (6.6% y/y).
Spending on discretionary items was quite mixed. General merchandise store sales fell 0.1% (+4.9% y/y) after a sharp 1.3% jump in April. Apparel store sales dropped 0.8% (+5.8% y/y) but sales at furniture and electronics sales increased 0.2% (+6.7% y/y).
Building material store sales added 0.5% (9.2% y/y) to the very sharp increases of the prior two months.
Sales of nonstore retailers (internet and catalogue) dropped 1.1% (11.9% y/y) but April's gain was revised sharply higher to 1.2%.
May | April | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Sales & Food Services | -0.5% | 1.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
Excluding Autos | -0.2% | 1.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |