Recent Updates
- Malaysia: Motor Vehicle Sales (Apr)
- Malaysia: House Price Index by State (Q1)
- Macao: Visitor Arrivals (Apr)
- Turkey: Domestic Debt by Holder (APR)
- UK Regional: Northern Ireland: Mortgage Possession (Q1)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller June 10, 2005
The U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened in April to $57.0B and reversed about half of the prior month's m/m improvement which was revised. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of $58.0B.
Total exports doubled the prior month's gain and rose 3.0%. Goods exports increased 4.2% (12.7% y/y) to a record high. Exports of capital goods led the gain with a 5.5% jump (12.1% y/y) Exports of advanced technology products fell 4.3% (NSA, +14.2% y/y) after the prior month's one third jump higher. Exports of nonauto consumer goods fell for the second month (+9.1% y/y) but exports of foods, feeds & beverages rose 3.5% (5.3% y/y).
Services exports 0.2% (12.5% y/y).
Total imports recovered all of the prior moth's slump with a 4.1% increase as imports of petroleum products surged 4.3% (48.9% y/y). The average price of crude oil jumped another 8.8% to $44.76 per bbl. (44.4% y/y). Imports of non-petroleum goods recovered all of the prior month's drop with a 5.0% (10.8% y/y) as capital goods imports jumped 7.6% (14.0% y/y).
The US trade deficit with China deteriorated slightly to $14.7B ($162.0B in 2004) due to an 11.8% jump in imports (22.9% y/y). The US trade deficit with Japan improved slightly to $7.2B ($75.2B in 2004) and the monthly trade deficit with the Asian NICs deepened to $0.8B ($21.9B in 2004). The US trade deficit with the European Union eased slightly to $9.3B ($110.0B in 2004).
Yesterday's testimony on the Economic Outlook from Fed Chairman Greenspan can be found here.
Are We Underestimating the Gains from Globalization for the United States? from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is available here.
Foreign Trade | April | March | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trade Deficit | $57.0B | $53.6B | $48.4B (4/04) | $617.6B | $494.8B | $421.2B |
Exports - Goods & Services | 3.0% | 1.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 4.6% | -3.0% |
Imports - Goods & Services | 4.1% | -3.1% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 2.1% |