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- Macao: Visitor Arrivals (Apr)
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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller May 6, 2005
April non-farm payrolls rose 274,000 following an upwardly revised 146,000 increase a month earlier. Consensus expectations had been for a 175,000 rise. The latest increase pulled the average three month change in payrolls (240,000) to its highest in nearly a year.
The household survey also indicated that the labor market remained firm as the unemployment rate held at a low 5.2%. Employment rose 598,000 (1.8% y/y) and the labor force rose 605,000 (1.3% y/y) as the participation rate rose to 66.0%, its highest this year. The number of job losers fell sharply for the fourth straight month (-15.0% y/y) due to a 21.1% decline in the number of permanent job losers versus last year.
Private service producing payrolls rose 211,000 (2.0% y/y) last month and gains were spread across industries. Total government employment rose 18,000 (0.7% y/y) but federal government jobs fell again (-1.1% y/y). Factory sector payrolls fell 6,000 for the third monthly decline this year though the breadth of hiring gain improved slightly to 50%. Six-month breadth remained low at 38.7%.
Construction jobs rose a firm 47,000 (4.3% y/y).
The index of aggregate hours worked (employment times hours worked) rose 0.9% (3.1% y/y) helped higher by a jump in the length of the workweek to its highest since 2002. The level of hours worked began the quarter 4.4% (AR) ahead of 1Q05.
Average hourly earnings increased 0.3% for the second month and earnings in manufacturing recovered all of the prior month's 0.2% decline (2.3% y/y).
Evidence of Wage Inequality, Worker Education, and Technology from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is available here.
A corrected FOMC Statement is available here.
Employment | April | March | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payroll Employment | 274,000 | 146,000 | 1.7% | 1.1% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
Manufacturing | -6,000 | -7,000 | -0.1% | -1.2% | -4.9% | -7.2% |
Average Weekly Hours | 33.9 | 33.7 | 33.7 | 33.7 | 33.7 | 33.8 |
Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% |
Unemployment Rate | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% |