Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
- Brazil: IPCA-15 (May)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller April 13, 2005
US retail sales rose 0.3% in March but the gain fell quite short of Consensus expectations for a 0.8% rise. The 0.5% increase in February was unrevised though figures back to 2003 were revised slightly lower.
March sales excluding motor vehicles also disappointed Consensus expectations for a 0.6% rise.The 0.1% up tick followed a downwardly revised 0.6% increase in February.
Spending on discretionary items eased after increasing strongly through February. Sales at furniture & home furnishings stores slipped 0.5% (+4.1% y/y) after a 1.5% February jump. General merchandise stores reversed an unrevised 0.7% (+4.4% y/y) gain in February and apparel store sales dropped 1.9% (+1.6% y/y) after unrevised gains of 1.1% and 1.9% during the prior two months.
March nonauto retail sales less gasoline fell 0.1% (+5.4% y/y) following a 0.5% February increase. Gasoline service station sales jumped 2.1% (17.8% y/y) as gasoline prices rose 8.9% to an average $2.08 per gallon. In the second week of April gasoline prices rose further to an average $2.28.
Sales of nonstore retailers (internet and catalogue) jumped 1.2% m/m (+13.4% y/y).
Building material store sales surged 1.5% (+5.5% y/y) but the y/y gain eased considerably from the earlier pace. The comparison was tough given the 9.7% m/m spike in March 2004.
Economic Policy and the Sustainability of U.S. Productivity Growth from New York Federal Reserve Bank President Timothy F. Geithner are available here.
The minutes to the latest meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee can be found here.
Mar | Feb | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Retail Sales & Food Services | 0.3% | 0.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
Excluding Autos | 0.1% | 0.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |