Recent Updates
- Hungary: Labor Force (Apr)
- Kazakhstan: Bank Loans (Apr)
- Singapore: IP (Apr)
- Australia: General Insurance Performance (Q1)
- Japan: Services Producer Price Indexes, Semiconductor Mfg Equipment
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller March 4, 2005
Non-farm payrolls rose 262,000 in February, doubling the prior month's increase which was downwardly revised. Consensus expectations had been for a 225,000 rise.
From the separate household survey the unemployment rate rose to 5.4%. Employment fell 97,000 (+1.3% y/y) while the labor force expanded 153,000 (1.1% y/y). The labor force participation rate remained stable m/m at 65.8% versus a high in 2000 of 67.3%.
Factory sector payrolls recovered all of the lessened 20,000 January decline. The breadth of hiring gain narrowed, however, as indicated by a decline in the one month diffusion index to 43.5%. That index rose above 60% early in 2004.
Construction jobs rose 30,000 (4.0% y/y) versus a revised no change in January.
Private service producing payrolls rose 174,000 (2.1% y/y) led by a strong 81,000 (3.9% y/y) gain in professional & business services. Education & health services jobs rose 18,000 (2.4% y/y) and financial jobs rose 12,000 (2.1% y/y). Government employment increased 33,000 (0.9% y/y) though federal government jobs rose just 2,000 (-0.4% y/y).
The index of aggregate hours worked (employment times hours worked) rose 0.2% (+2.2% y/y) after an upwardly revised 0.2% January gain. In 1Q the index is 0.6% (AR) ahead of 4Q04.
Average hourly earnings rose were unchanged reflecting a 0.1% (+2.6% y/y) in private service producing earnings. Manufacturing earnings rose 0.2% (2.6% y/y).
Yesterday's speech by Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan on the tax system can be found here.
Employment | Feb | Jan | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payroll Employment | 262,000 | 132,000 | 1.8% | 1.1% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
Manufacturing | 20,000 | -20,000 | 0.4% | -1.2% | -4.9% | -7.2% |
Average Weekly Hours | 33.7 | 33.7 | 33.8 | 33.7 | 33.7 | 33.8 |
Average Hourly Earnings | 0.0% | 0.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% |
Unemployment Rate | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% |