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Economy in Brief
U.S. Advance Trade Deficit Narrowed Markedly in April
The advance estimate of the U.S. international trade deficit in goods narrowed to $105.9 billion in April...
As Inflation Overshoots, Are Central Banks Overdoing It?
This report is a reminder of how complicated inflation and monetary policy making can be...
U.S. GDP Decline is Little-Revised in Q1'22; Corporate Profits Fall
U.S. real GDP fell 1.5%, SAAR (+3.5% y/y) last quarter...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller February 23, 2005
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications fell another 0.6% last week but slight decline during the last two weeks only tempered earlier gains which lifted the average in February 11.1% above January.
Last week's decline was due to a 1.3% drop in purchase applications. During the last ten years there has been a 59% correlation between the y/y change in purchase applications and the change in new plus existing home sales. Purchase applications in February are down 0.3% versus January.
Applications to refinance ticked up 0.1% following several weeks of strong gain and in February are 25.6% higher than in January.
The effective interest rate on a conventional 30-year mortgage rose to 5.92% versus 5.75% the prior week. The effective rate on a 15-year mortgage also rose to 5.52% last week.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey accounts for more than 40% of all applications processed each week by mortgage lenders. Visit the Mortgage Bankers Association site here.
MBA Mortgage Applications (3/16/90=100) | 02/18/05 | 02/11/05 | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 727.9 | 732.3 | -14.8% | 735.1 | 1,067.9 | 799.7 |
Purchase | 417.8 | 423.3 | -1.3% | 454.5 | 395.1 | 354.7 |
Refinancing | 2,532.0 | 2,530.1 | -24.7% | 2,366.8 | 4,981.8 | 3,388.0 |