Recent Updates
- Hong Kong: Movements of Aircraft, Passenger and Freight (Apr)
- US: Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Mar), IP & Capacity Util, Adv Retail Sales (Apr)
- US: NAHB\Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (Mar)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller February 15, 2005
Total business inventories rose another 0.2% after the 1.1% surge in November. The full year increase of 7.8% was the strongest since 1988.
Retail inventories rose 0.3% in December following a 1.1% increase the prior month. Accumulation of non-auto retail inventories jumped for the second month, up 1.0%, and the year's accumulation was the strongest in ten led by a 16.9% y/y gain in building materials. Inventories of furniture (6.8% y/y) and general merchandise (6.4% y/y) also rose strongly though apparel accumulation slowed to just 1.0%.
Wholesale inventories rose another 0.4% and the yearly gain of 11.2% was a record. During the last ten years there has been a 64% correlation between the y/y change in wholesale inventories and the change in imports of merchandise.
Overall business sales jumped 1.0% (+10.6% y/y) on the strength of yearend auto sales.
The ratio of inventories-to-sales fell slightly back to the record low of 1.30. Moreover, though the rate of inventory accumulation more than quadrupled last year, it lagged the double digit gain in sales.
Business Inventories | Dec | Nov | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.2% | 1.1% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
Retail | 0.3% | 1.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
Retail excl. Autos | 1.0% | 1.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
Wholesale | 0.4% | 1.2% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Manufacturing | -0.1% | 1.0% | 7.3% | -1.3% | -1.8% |