Recent Updates
- Hungary: Labor Force (Apr)
- Kazakhstan: Bank Loans (Apr)
- Singapore: IP (Apr)
- Australia: General Insurance Performance (Q1)
- Japan: Services Producer Price Indexes, Semiconductor Mfg Equipment
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller May 25, 2022
• Core capital goods orders edge higher.
• Shipments strengthen.
• Order backlogs & inventories rise moderately.
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y) after improving 0.6% in March, revised from 0.8%. A 0.6% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey.
Within a key measure of activity in the capital goods sector, new orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft increased 0.3% in April (7.5% y/y) after rising 1.1% during March.
Transportation equipment orders overall edged 0.6% higher (23.0% y/y) last month following a 0.3 % decline. Motor vehicle & parts orders fell 0.2% (+19.7% y/y), but defense aircraft orders rose 1.0% (2.9% y/y).
Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.3% last month (7.6% y/y) following an unrevised 1.1% March increase. Machinery orders rose 1.0% (9.9% y/y) after a 0.6% rise. Electrical equipment & appliance orders eased 0.1% (+11.7% y/y) after increasing 2.5% in March and 3.1% in February. Computer & electronic product orders improved 0.1% (4.3% y/y) after gaining 1.8% in March. Primary metals orders increased 0.6% (17.4% y/y) but fabricated metals bookings eased 0.1% (+2.8% y/y).
Shipments of durable goods improved 0.1% last month (12.2% y/y) after rising 1.4% in March, revised from 1.2%. Transportation shipments held steady (15.3% y/y) following a 2.6% rise. Excluding transportation, shipments improved 0.2% during April after a 0.9% gain. Machinery shipments rose 0.2% (14.1% y/y) while shipments of computers and electronic products gained 0.5% (3.9% y/y). Shipments of electrical equipment and appliances fell 0.6% (+11.3% y/y) while primary metals shipments gained 0.9% (20.6% y/y).
The advance reading on shipments of nondurable goods indicated a 0.1% rise during April (15.7% y/y) following strong gains in each of the prior three months. Shipments from all manufacturing industries edged 0.1% higher (13.9% y/y) in April after a 2.1% March gain. Capital goods shipments excluding defense and aircraft increased 0.8% (11.4% y/y) in April after a 0.2% gain.
Unfilled orders for durable goods rose 0.5% last month (7.8% y/y) following a 0.5% gain. Unfilled orders are not calculated for nondurable goods.
Durable goods inventories increased 0.8% (10.2% y/y) following a 0.9% March gain. Nondurable goods inventories rose 0.1% (11.2% y/y) after strong gains during each of the prior three months.
The durable goods and nondurable goods data are available in Haver's USECON database. The Action Economics consensus forecast figure is in the AS1REPNA database.
The minutes to the latest FOMC meeting can be found here.